Is Scotland sitting on a Cancer Time bomb?

According to the Scottish Daily Record and the Scottish Information Services Division, it is.

It is expected that there will be a 33% rise in cancer cases over the next 12 years as the country’s population ages, with a predicted increase in cases from 30,500 to 40,000 by 2027.  Lung cancer patient numbers in particular are likely to soar, the report says and is predicted to continue to be the most common cancer in Scotland in 2023-2027, with the number of new cases projected to increase by 20% between 2008-2012 and 2023-2027. This reflects historical levels of smoking in the population.

Health Secretary Shona Robison said: “Lifestyle changes have a big part to play. Drinking less alcohol, quitting smoking, exercising more and eating healthily all play a part in decreasing cancer risk.”

However as the rate of cancer cases is set to rise rapidly, early detection has only seen a 1.5% increase for lung, breast and colorectal cancers over the past 5 years.

Macmillan Cancer Support’s General Manager in Scotland, Janice Preston, said: “….Early diagnosis not only increases chances of survival but can mean less invasive treatment, which can offer people a better recovery and quality of life after their treatment is over.”

Scotland announced the ‘Detect Cancer Early Programme’ in 2012 – the Early Lung Cancer Detection Study (ECLS) is a key element of that programme.

The ECLS Study is the largest randomised trial for the early detection of lung cancer using biomarkers .The ECLS study uses the EarlyCDT-lung blood test. See for more information.

Website links

Daily Record

ISD – Detect Cancer Early Staging Data –

ECLS Study –